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Tracing How Business Models Evolved To Become a Cornerstone of Strategic Management

Understanding the evolution of business models to navigate the future of value creation and capture.
July 24, 2024 by
Tracing How Business Models Evolved To Become a Cornerstone of Strategic Management
Mohamed Amine Serbout

Overview:

The concept of business models has become a foundational element of both entrepreneurial ventures and corporate innovation, acting as a blueprint for how organizations create, deliver, and capture value. Since its inception in the 1950s, the business model has evolved in response to broader technological, economic, and societal changes. For today’s leaders, understanding this historical trajectory offers key lessons for building resilient and adaptable businesses in a rapidly changing world. This evolution reflects the increasing complexity of value creation in the digital age, highlighting the indispensable role of business models in fostering sustainability, scalability, and innovation.

Key Milestones and Insights:
  1. 1950s - Operational Efficiency and Early Conceptualization:Business models began as frameworks for operational efficiency and business process simulations, primarily driven by computer systems. Leaders in this era focused on maximizing productivity and optimizing linear value chains but lacked comprehensive tools to conceptualize long-term value creation.
  2. 1970s-1980s - Academic Foundations and Value Creation: Thought leaders like Peter Drucker emphasized value creation and sustainability, laying the groundwork for modern business models. However, companies still viewed models in a linear fashion, missing out on the broader strategic connections between revenue, value propositions, and ecosystems.
  3. 1990s - Internet Era and the Explosion of New Models: The rise of the internet transformed how businesses operated, introducing new revenue streams and opportunities for innovation. However, many companies struggled to transition from traditional to digital models, and the dot-com crash underscored the risks of unsustainable and speculative business practices.
  4. 2000s - Rise of Frameworks and Open Innovation: This decade saw the creation of pivotal tools like the Business Model Canvas, along with concepts such as open innovation. Thought leaders like Alexander Osterwalder and Henry Chesbrough redefined how business models were structured, promoting adaptability, collaboration, and strategic innovation.
  5. 2010s - Lean Startup and Digital Transformation: The lean startup methodology, coupled with digital transformation, became central to modern business thinking. Entrepreneurs focused on iterative development and customer-centricity, but many companies still struggled to integrate agile principles into their long-term models, missing opportunities for sustainable growth.
  6. 2020s and Beyond - Resilience, Sustainability, and Generative AI: The COVID-19 pandemic and the rise of generative AI have pushed businesses to rethink resilience and adaptability. Leaders now face the challenge of integrating emerging technologies like AI while addressing ethical, privacy, and bias concerns. The shift towards platform ecosystems and sustainable business models highlights the increasing importance of creating not only economic but also social and environmental value.
How This Matters Today:

Understanding the evolution of business models helps today’s entrepreneurs and corporate leaders to build adaptable, customer-centric, and sustainable businesses. As digital transformation accelerates and new technologies reshape industries, resilient business models will be critical in navigating future disruptions and capturing new opportunities in a rapidly shifting landscape.

​The concept of business models has become a cornerstone of entrepreneurial and corporate innovation, serving as the blueprint for how organizations create, deliver, and capture value. For entrepreneurs and intrapreneurs alike, understanding business models is not merely academic—it's a practical necessity. The right business model can be the difference between success and failure, especially in today's fast-paced and unpredictable market landscape.

​To fully appreciate the importance of business models, it’s crucial to grasp their historical evolution. Since their inception in the 1950s, business models have undergone significant transformations, reflecting broader economic, technological, and societal shifts. By exploring this history, we can uncover valuable insights that inform modern practices, allowing today's innovators to build more resilient, adaptable, and sustainable ventures. This exploration provides context for the dynamic role business models play in shaping the future of business, highlighting their relevance and indispensability in both established companies and emerging startups.

An overview of a concept in continuous flux

​The concept of business models has evolved from its early roots in academic discourse during the mid-20th century to become a central tenet of modern strategic thinking. The evolution of the term reflects the changing nature of business and the increasing complexity of value creation in the digital age. 

The concept of business models is fundamental to modern business strategy. It does not have a single inventor. Instead, it has been shaped by the collective contributions of various thinkers, economists, and industry experts over time. The lack of a single inventor is reflective of the diverse perspectives and interpretations that surround the concept, leading to a lack of consensus on its precise definition.

​The term 'business model' began appearing in academic and professional literature. It was often discussed in relation to computer systems and business process simulations. It gained significant popularity in the 1990s, especially with the rise of the internet and e-commerce. Since then, it has been refined and expanded through influential frameworks like the Business Model Canvas and concepts such as open innovation and lean startup methodology. Today, business models are recognized as essential tools for understanding how organizations create, deliver, and capture value in an increasingly dynamic and interconnected global economy.

Connecting the dots: A timeline of business models through the decades

1950s: Early Usage

The 1950s marked a pivotal period of post-war economic recovery, coinciding with the dawn of the computer age. As industries sought to capitalize on technological advancements to optimize operations and boost productivity, the seeds of modern business model evolution were quietly planted.

The term "business model" began appearing in academic and professional literature related to computer systems and business process simulations. One of the early uses is noted in Bellman et al.'s 1957 paper "On the Construction of a Multi-Stage, Multi-Person Business Game" in Operations Research.

At this time, the traditional understanding of business models was primarily focused on operational efficiency and linear value chains. However, the limitations lay in the lack of comprehensive frameworks to conceptualize holistic value creation beyond immediate transactions. Business models were often seen as static structures rather than dynamic systems adaptable to changing market conditions.

1970s and 1980s: Academic Foundations

The 1970s and 1980s witnessed global economic shifts and the emergence of multinational corporations. Management scholars were increasingly examining organizational structures, management and strategies to navigate the increasingly complex business landscapes.

​Scholars like Peter Drucker laid the groundwork for modern business model thinking. Drucker's emphasis on understanding value creation and sustainability foreshadowed later developments. Concurrently, discussions within systems analysis and design provided indirect insights into business models' mechanics and importance.

  • Peter Drucker: Though he did not explicitly use the term "business model," Peter Drucker’s work in the 1970s and 1980s laid the groundwork for modern business model concepts. In his book "Management: Tasks, Responsibilities, Practices" (1973), Drucker discussed the importance of understanding how a business creates value for customers and sustains itself financially .
  • Concurrently, discussions within systems analysis and design provided indirect insights into business models' mechanics and importance. These discussions often focused on business process optimization and decision-making models, referencing business models indirectly. For example, George P. Huber’s work in the 1980s on decision-making processes highlighted the importance of understanding business activities.

Although there was an increasing focus on value creation, most companies still viewed business models in a linear way. They prioritized cost-cutting and operational efficiency, often missing the broader strategic implications of their business models. There was limited recognition of the interconnectedness between value propositions, revenue streams, and ecosystem dynamics.

1990s: Internet Era and Popularization

The 1990s witnessed an unprecedented expansion of the internet, catalyzing a seismic shift in communication and commerce. As entrepreneurs and established businesses rushed to harness digital technologies for new revenue streams and market opportunities, the landscape of business models underwent a transformative evolution. 

​This advent of the internet catalyzed a surge in interest around business models, as companies needed to rethink their strategies to succeed in the digital age.

  • Michael Rappa: His 1998 article "Business Models on the Web" was pivotal in analyzing different types of business models emerging with the internet .
  • Peter Timmers: Published "Business Models for Electronic Markets" in Electronic Markets (1998), which classified different types of e-commerce business models .

​While the internet opened doors to unprecedented connectivity and innovation, the traditional understanding of business models struggled to keep pace with the digital landscape's dynamism. 

​Established businesses grappled with adapting their traditional brick-and-mortar models to the virtual realm.  This transition often involved significant challenges. These included developing digital infrastructure, shifting to online sales and marketing strategies, and rethinking supply chain logistics. Furthermore, many companies underestimated the importance of customer-centricity. They also overlooked the network effects crucial for online success.

Startups during this period faced unique challenges. The pressure to grow quickly led to unsustainable business practices. This pressure also resulted in overvaluation. Many startups prioritized gaining users over creating viable revenue models. This approach often resulted in cash flow issues. The speculative bubble created by high investor expectations eventually burst. This led to the dot-com crash.. This period highlighted the importance of developing sustainable and customer-centric business models, influencing future thinking around scalability and profitability.

2000s:  Rise of Frameworks and Concepts

The early 2000s witnessed the aftermath of the dot-com bubble burst and a renewed focus on sustainable business practices. Innovators and academics alike sought to redefine traditional business paradigms through collaborative and open approaches.

​During this period, influential frameworks and concepts emerged, laying the groundwork for contemporary business model thinking.

  • Joan Magretta: In her influential 2002 article "Why Business Models Matter" in Harvard Business Review, Magretta emphasized the importance of narratives and numbers in business models, She linked them to the broader strategy..
  • Henry Chesbrough: Introduced the concept of open innovation and its impact on business models in his 2003 book "Open Innovation: The New Imperative for Creating and Profiting from Technology". Chesbrough's exploration of open innovation challenged traditional models at that time (ie: closed innovation, vertical integration, technology push models)
  • Alexander Osterwalder: His 2004 dissertation "The Business Model Ontology – A Proposition in a Design Science Approach" provided a comprehensive framework for understanding business models. The subsequent book 'Business Model Generation' (2010) co-authored with Yves Pigneur, became a seminal work. It has been widely adopted in business education and practice. In this book, they introduce Business Model Canvas which provided a visual tool for conceptualizing and innovating business models.

​Even with increasing awareness of the need for innovation, many companies stuck to traditional business model thinking. They were slow to adopt openness and collaboration, holding onto old ideas of competitive advantage and proprietary control.. This reluctance stifled creativity. It also hindered adaptive responses to market disruptions.

2010s: 21st Centrury Adaptations and Innovations

The 2010s were characterized by rapid technological advancements and shifting consumer behaviors. Startups and established firms alike grappled with the challenges and opportunities presented by an increasingly interconnected global economy.

​This period saw the refinement and expansion of business model concepts.

  • Business Model Canvas: Continued to gain popularity, becoming a standard tool for startups and established companies to conceptualize and innovate their business models.
  • Steve Blank and Eric Ries: Integrated business model thinking into the lean startup methodology. They emphasized iterative development and validation of business models.. Ries's book "The Lean Startup" (2011) became a crucial text for modern entrepreneurs .
  • Digital Transformation: The rise of digital business models prompted further exploration into how traditional companies could adapt and innovate. Publications like "The Digital Transformation Playbook" by David L. Rogers (2016) highlighted these shifts.

​Despite the emergence of new methodologies like the lean startup approach, the traditional understanding of business models still struggled. It often failed to fully integrate agile and customer-centric principles. Many companies remained fixated on short-term profitability at the expense of long-term sustainability. They overlooked the importance of ecosystem resilience and stakeholder engagement.

2020s - Ongoing: Towards Resilience and Sustainability?

The 2020s began amidst the unprecedented challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic. This period highlighted the fragility of existing business models. it also underscored the urgent need for resilience and adaptability in a volatile world.​

​As we entered the 2020s, the focus shifted towards resilience and sustainability. Concepts like sustainable business models and platform ecosystems gained prominence, reflecting evolving market demands and societal pressures.

  • Sustainable Business Models: Increasing focus on sustainability led to the exploration of business models. These models aim to create not only economic value but also social and environmental value. Books like "The Circular Economy: A Wealth of Flows" by Ken Webster (2017) became important in this context .
  • Platform and Ecosystem Models: The dominance of platform-based business models (e.g., Uber, Airbnb) has prompted significant academic and practical interest. Annabelle Gawer's work on platform leadership and multi-sided markets is notable here .
  • COVID-19 Impact: The pandemic accelerated digital transformation and forced companies to re-evaluate their business models for resilience and adaptability. Studies and reports during this period provide insights into how businesses adapted and transformed their models in response to unprecedented challenges.
  • Generative AI: The ascent of Generative AI is reshaping the fabric of businesses. It pushes companies to grapple with its transformative potential. Amidst the ongoing evolution, firms are encountering numerous hurdles. These includes ethical dilemmas, privacy issues, and the looming threat of algorithmic biases. Integrating Generative AI into business models poses unique challenges and opportunities. It seems to even suggest a reevaluation of traditional approaches.

​The traditional understanding of business models is facing its most significant challenge as companies grappled with the complexities of digital disruption and global crises. Many companies found it difficult to move away from traditional models to more sustainable and inclusive approaches. This struggle highlights the limitations of linear thinking in an increasingly interconnected and unpredictable business environment.

Conclusion

​The evolution of business model concept is a cumulative process that has been influenced by a wide range of theoretical and practical advancements in economics, management, and entrepreneurship over many decades.

​The history of business models is a testament to the ever-evolving nature of business itself. From humble beginnings in academic discourse to becoming central to strategic decision-making. As we navigate an increasingly complex and uncertain future, understanding and innovating business models will remain paramount for success.


References
  1. Bellman, R., Clark, C. E., Malcolm, D. G., Craft, C. J., & Ricciardi, F. M. (1957). On the Construction of a Multi-Stage, Multi-Person Business Game. Operations Research, 5(4), 469-503.
  2. Drucker, P. (1973). Management: Tasks, responsibilities, practices Harper & Row. Publishers, New York.
  3. Huber, G. P. (1984). The Nature and Design of Post-Industrial Organizations. Management Science, 30(8), 928-951.
  4. Rappa, M. (1998?). Business models on the web. . Retrieved from http://digitalenterprise.org/models/models.html
  5. Timmers, P. (1998). Business Models for Electronic Markets. Electronic Markets, 8(2), 3-8.
  6. Magretta, J. (2002). Why Business Models Matter. Harvard Business Review, 80(5), 86-92.
  7. Chesbrough, H. W. (2003). Open Innovation: The New Imperative for Creating and Profiting from Technology. Harvard Business School Press.
  8. Osterwalder, A. (2004). The Business Model Ontology – A Proposition in a Design Science Approach. Dissertation, University of Lausanne.
  9. Osterwalder, A., & Pigneur, Y. (2010). Business model generation: a handbook for visionaries, game changers, and challengers (Vol. 1). John Wiley & Sons.
  10. Ries, E. (2011). The Lean Startup: How Today's Entrepreneurs Use Continuous Innovation to Create Radically Successful Businesses. Crown Business.
  11. Rogers, D. L. (2016). The Digital Transformation Playbook: Rethink Your Business for the Digital Age. Columbia University Press.
  12. Webster, K. (2017). The Circular Economy: A Wealth of Flows. Ellen MacArthur Foundation Publishing.
  13. Gawer, A. (2014). Bridging differing perspectives on technological platforms: Toward an integrative framework. Research Policy, 43(7), 1239-1249.
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